Thursday, September 30, 2004

If we knew then what we know now...

John Kerry: "We should not have gone to war knowing the information that we know today."

Let's follow that trail, and see where it leads.

What is "the information that we know today"?

Iraq had no stockpile of WMD, but had the technology, the personnel, and the intention of making WMDs, once the UN was no longer paying attention.

If the US had backed off, the UN would have accepted the word of the inspectors that Iraq no longer had WMD. The inspectors would by now have been out of Iraq for a year or more.

Would Saddam have WMD today?
Yes, almost certainly.

What would he be doing with them?
Since the US would presumably still be garrisoning Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, and enforcing the 'no fly' zones, there would be little chance that Saddam could mount an attack on his neighbors. So his possible uses for the WMD would be to (a) use them in a direct strategic attack on Israel or some other western target or (b) pass them on to someone who could conduct a stealthier attack (ie terrorists).

Since choice (a) would be suicidal, (b) is more likely.


So the only reasonable conclusion is that, if we had known then what we know now, and as a consequence had not gone to war in Iraq, by now WMD terrorist attacks would be common.

Dan Does It Again

New York Post Online Edition: postopinion

Just read the article linked above. It speaks for itself.

RMR

Wednesday, September 29, 2004

Now this is funny...

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/29/opinion/29gore.html

This is Al Gore's Op-Ed in the New York Times. The title is "How To Debate George Bush". HILARIOUS!!!! The piece should have been short and gone like this.

How To Debate George Bush
by Al Gore

I have no stinking clue! Try doing the opposite of whatever I did.


Considering the man got demolished three times in 2000 you would figure he would know better then to give advice. However since you'll find better political instincts on a billygoat...it doesn't exactly shock me that he would try this.

Bush Ad and Stuff From the Web

GeorgeWBush.com :: Video & Audio

Be sure to check out the ad titled "Searching" at the link above. OUCH! Also, the truly inspired windsurfing ad that so bugged the Dems is there.

Also, there's some good stuff around the web today dealing with some topics also touched on here at RMR. Tony Blankley, Dick Morris, and Mike Murphy all weigh in on the upcoming debate smackdown with some great insights. Also this article in the Denver Post makes some interesting points about "red" and "blue" american and why the concept bugs libs so much. Real Clear Politics has some more poll numbers, including one clueless IBD poll (headline: It's Tied!). Be sure to also check out Mryna Blythe on why Kerry isn't appealing to female voters in most polls.

Finally, check out the Kerry "Algore" moment in this article about "I voted for it before I voted against it". Heh.

RMR

Tuesday, September 28, 2004

Kerry Pessimism is Wrong Move, Wrong Campaign, Wrong Decade

New York Post Online Edition: postopinion

With debates looming and Senator Kerry really hammering the President on Iraq, I find that Mr. Podhoretz's column, linked above, goes right to the heart of the issue - optimism versus pessimism. He points out that, yes, there has been an uptick in attacks in Iraq of late, but that in spite of them the political process is going forward and going forward well. The fact is, if terrorists in a country of thirty million people want to kill or maim ten people a day, it's very hard to stop them. 100,000+ Iraqis are now enrolled in security forces with more signing up every day. In fact, when these bombs go off, it is often where they are signing up - and signing up knowing that they will maybe be the target of a bomb. The fact that they are still signing up should say something about the Iraqi desire for freedom. The solving of the Shiite shrine crisis with no US armed final assault also bodes well for Iraq's future. For more on Kerry's positions on Iraq, check out Larry Kudlow at NRO.

Americans don't like to hear "we're losing", especially when it isn't true. The question of victory is not in doubt - the challenge is just how we balance our use of force against political issues. We could level and conquer the place tomorrow if we wanted, but is that the right thing to do? (hint: no). Mr. Kerry's increasing negative swing to his base on the left is turning off swing voters, as a quick trip to RealClearPolitics will show you. Also note that these strong polls are over the weekend, when Bush and Republicans poll low. In other words, these decent leads could even be underreported. These several polls show the Kerry plan hasn't worked, and coupled with new Republican turnout efforts, he won't be able to overcome them with a glut of partisan voters on election day.

Kerry should focus on his plan for the future, not negative attacks on Iraq and (yawn) Vietnam. The good news for the good guys (hint: us) is that he probably won't at the debates. Read this article from the Daily News for more on that. His negative style will not make him very likeable and will lose the debates, whatever Dan Rather says in the wrap-up afterwards.

RMR



Friday, September 24, 2004

A Quiet Question

If as Mr Kerry says, terrorists are flocking to Iraq -

Where were they before? And what were they doing there?

No wait, that's 2 quiet questions.

And are we better off with them in Iraq or where they were before?


Oh no, that's THREE questions!!

A Humble Debate Tip for Dubyah

Far be it from me to offer unsolicited advice (oh, wait - I'm a blogger, it's my hobby), but I have a humble suggestion for the President next Thursday.

Get under Kerry's skin.

Howard Fineman makes a brief reference to this today, as does John Podhoretz. Podhoretz makes the point more directly: Kerry just can't take a joke or any kind of personal criticism. For examples see the response to the Swifties and the Republican Convention, and the hysterical reaction to the light hearted "Windsurfing" ad. No smart politico would have done any of these things unless the boss ordered him to ("They're attacking my PATRIOTISM with that windsurfing photo!")

Bush should first use self-deprecating humor, and then make about forty million light hearted jabs at Kerry about flip-flopping. It might do nothing, or Kerry might flip out, pull out a gun, and shoot Jim Lehrer - either is possible.

One suggestion - "Well...I guess my opponent was for education reform before he was against it"

or "Well, there you go again (pause for laughter)...AGAIN!"

or "I'm sorry, Jim, but I want to be sure I'm keeping up - John, you're against on that one now?"

Ask Karl, Mr. President, he probably already has them typed up.

RMR

Exit Music Swelling for Joe Lockhart and Co.

HUMAN EVENTS ONLINE :: Did Kerry's Camp Know About the Memos? by David Freddoso

Read the above link for a sample of the latest "timeline" reporting on Rathergate. There's also a detailed account at American Thinker Drudge also has this simple report posted on his front page:

CONTROVERSIAL TEXAS RANCHER SAYS LOCKHART WANTED DOCUMENTS // The source of a disputed CBSNEWS report claimed Thursday that Kerry adviser Joe Lockhart tried to "convince me as to why I should give them the documents." Texas Army National Guard Lt. Col. Bill Burkett tells the FORT WORTH STAR-TELEGRAM that he has suffered four seizures since being identified as CBS' source and dogged by the media... Developing...

Now, we must all calm down and admit that Bill Burkett is a certified nut job. We must also remember, however, that a major news organization, the Kerry campaign, and the DNC could have possibly colluded with a certified nut job to run a smear campaign against a sitting president. Either way, looks good for the good guys (hint: that's us).

I must admit that it looks pretty strange that a major ad campaign ("Operation Fortunate Son") that was made up by a Hillary minion just happened to come out the day after this story broke. Also, doesn't forknowledge of this story explain Kerry's wierd post-Republican convention speech? In hindsight I think he was trying to get ahead of this story (and he was also thin-skinned - more on this to come).

Someone's head at CBS and the Kerry campaign will probably be required to end this story. My money is on Lockhart (we had no idea that Joe would do something like this!) and the CBS producer Mapes (well, she's never been up to working for someone as great as Dan Rather!).

As Drudge would say: Developing...

RMR

Thursday, September 23, 2004

Kerry Repeats Goofy Internet Urban Legend

Kerry made the oddball statement this week that Bush is planning to reinstate the military draft and is keeping it a secret. Apparently, he was parrotting an urban legend email that has been circulating around cyberspace. This story is particularly great because it completely demonstrates the idiocy of the liberal mindset: if it feels true, it must be true. This is the power behind the Michael Moore's of the world and frankly what drove both the FAKE memo story and the ensuing cover-up ("it's true even if the documents are fake").

In this case, OF COURSE Bush and Rummy and all those EEEEEVIL wascily wepublicans want to draft and kill every American under 26. It all makes sense!

Unfortunately, the facts are somewhat different. There is actually a minor draft movement underway, led by DEMOCRATS. The two versions of a bill to reinstate the draft from January of 2003 were sponsored by Senator Fritz Hollings and Representative Charles Rangel, both Democrats (click the links for confirmation that they sponsored the bills). I've also heard Joe Biden and Jesse Jackson backing the idea. Why? They think that the war burden is overly born by (gasp) folks in the military. A large portion of enlisted men come from racial minorities who see the military as a means for advancement (as well as a noble service to their country). The proposal has gone absolutely nowhere because the Pentagon and the Administration are totally against the idea, instead favoring a perception of the military as a group of elite and highly trained operators.

Another reason is that the group being pandered to, military members of minority descent, are most likely conservative voters - just like the rest of the military. Whoops!

Kerry or his staff could have quickly researched this, as I did, by simply going to Google and typing in "reinstate military draft". Everything you would want to know comes up in the top ten hits.

Unless they were lying...

RMR

Tuesday, September 21, 2004

Bread Crumbs From Fake Documents to Kerry Campaign Grow Larger

Yahoo! News - CBS to Name Panel to Exam Bush Guard Story

In this story we find the first admission from the Kerry Campaign that they had spoken with Burkett, the "unimpeachable" source of CBS's FAKE memos before the story broke, and also the second name mentioned by those associated with the story that is connected to Kerry, the first being Max Cleland. Joe Lockhart, the second name, says he didn't talk to him about the memos, just accepted campaign advice. Well, this is good either way. If he's telling the truth, then the Kerry campaign is taking advice from nutball cranks. If he is lying, then we have the first element of the cover-up, which as we all know is always worse than the crime in politics.

Swarm, media, SWARM!

RMR

Monday, September 20, 2004

My Personal Favorite 527

Be sure to check out Football Fans for Truth, a group that seeks to point out Kerry's pathetic sports fan pandering. The most pathetic part of all is how he blames his failings on Secret Service guys, the catcher, etc...

Anyway, these guys are seriously funny and definately get it. Look for their upcoming billboard advertising in Wisconsin!

RMR

And now a break from your regularly scheduled programming...

...for a joke!


Hot air balloon
"A woman in a hot air balloon realized she was lost. She lowered her altitude and spotted a man in a boat below. She shouted to him, ‘Excuse me, can you help me? I promised a friend I would meet him an hour ago, but I don’t know where I am.’ The man consulted his portable GPS and replied, ‘You’re in a hot air balloon approximately 30 feet above a ground elevation of 2346
feet above sea level. You are at 31 degrees, 14.97 minutes north latitude and 100 degrees, 49.09 minutes west longitude.’ She rolled her eyes and said, ‘You must be a Republican.’
‘I am,’ replied the man. ‘How did you know?’ ‘Well,’ answered the balloonist, ‘everything you have told me is technically correct, but I have no idea what to do with your information, and I’m still lost. Frankly, you’ve not been much help to me.’ The man smiled and said, ‘You must be a Democrat.’ ‘I am,’ replied the balloonist. ‘How did you know?’ ‘Well,’ said the man, ‘you don’t know where you are or where you are going. You’ve risen to where you are due to a large quantity of hot air. You made a promise that you have no idea how to keep, and you expect me to solve your problem. You’re in exactly the same position you were in before we met but,
somehow, it’s my fault.’"

Sunday, September 19, 2004

A "Western Strategy" For 2004?

Moving off the headlines for a moment, I want to discuss a way in which the President's current lead in the polls, if it holds to November, could help out in another vital place: The Senate.

How? Well, imagine if Bush wins Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Pennsylvania, etc., and then maybe ekes out New Jersey and a few other total surprises. The inevitable effect is that the election could be effectively over before most people get off work in the Pacific Times Zone. That is, get off work and vote. In past elections when the election results seemed assured Westerners just decided not to bother and turnout was suppressed.

The reason this matters lies in two names: Patty Murray and Barbara Boxer. If Democratic turnout is suppressed by a Bush landslide (an electoral landslide would only require something like 52% of the popular vote) Republicans could knock off these two Kooky ladies with strong turnout.

Rove and company should stress this to our embattered colleagues in the West. GO VOTE. Even if Bush wins every state east of you, GO VOTE. While your democratic co-workers are comforting each other with tequila and comments like "If only EVERYONE had seen Moore's movie!", you can change our country for the better.

Two more votes in the Senate within our grasp. All it will take is turnout. However, for the Bush victory to materialize, the rest of us in the other time zones have to do our part and VOTE also. Let's stay the course and not get over-confident.

RMR

Bread Crumbs...

Yahoo! News - Man Linked to Bush Memos Contacted Cleland

WELLLL! Look what we have here!

In a shocking development, we find that the Texas crank that allegedly was the customer at the Abiliene Kinko's (and thus the source of the FAKE memos in Rathergate) bragged in an Auguest email that he had sent the Kerry campaign some info:

The retired Guard official, Bill Burkett, said in an Aug. 21 e-mail to a list of Texas Democrats that after getting through "seven layers of bureaucratic kids" in the Democrat's campaign, he talked with former Georgia Sen. Max Cleland about information that would counter criticism of Kerry's Vietnam War service. The Associated Press obtained a copy of the e-mail Saturday.

"I asked if they wanted to counterattack or ride this to ground and outlast it, not spending any money. (Cleland) said counterattack. So I gave them the information to do it with," Burkett wrote.


Now, I don't know how you get your information, but mine doesn't come by telepathy - and that starts with "t" which rhymes with "d" and that spells D-O-C-U-M-E-N-T-S. The best part is that the intro to the Kerry campaign is believable - Max "Attacking-my-record-is-not-allowed" Cleland. Cleland has a HUGE axe to grind and lots of Major Media street cred, so he could have done the whole thing. And he could say that he didn't want to be named because he was "afraid of more partisan attacks" like the CBS "source" (chuckle) says.

Kerry Hack model number 11285 naturally called these baseless attacks. Interesting how these are based on the evidence of an actual email sent to actual people, but the Dem's latest attacks on Bush are based on FAKE memos sent out by, literally, a disturbed person.

Now who's spinning, pal? Getting dizzy?

Let's see if the REAL press (even some of the libs have started in on this story) will chase Mr. Cleland down and ambush him on this.

RMR



Saturday, September 18, 2004

'The Underlying Story' is as fake as the documents

Rather said the docs may be fake, but the story is true' Because???

Ben Barnes (out of office, discredited (google "Ben Barnes" and "Sharpstown") Democratic activist) says a person who is now conveniently dead asked him to call another person (also conveniently dead) to get Bush into the TXANG. But the only man alive who was actually involved in Bush's selection, says it is not true. Of course he is only a distinguished retired TXANG officer and he supports Bush.

The fake documents say that his commander was upset with him for not taking a physical. The commander's typist says the documents are fake, but reflect how the commander 'felt' and the talk around the office at the time. And since she also used the 'selected, not elected' line, she obviously knows what she is talking about. Of course all available genuine documents say the opposite, the commanders family (one of whom was actually in the unit) say the opposite, and all of the other officers who were in the unit at the time say the opposite. But what do they know? They are probably Republicans.

We've come to expect the democratic talking heads on TV to read off the talking points fax, believe everything negative about the President and nothing positive, and in general try to spin everything their way. But now we have CBS News, and particularly Dan Rather, doing the same thing. Now we know that CBS News is nothing more than a spokesman for the Democratic Party, and their 'journalists' are nothing more than partisan hacks, and not very good ones at that.

As a lawyer named Joseph Welch said to Senator Joseph McCarthy in the early 1950s when he was engaged in the same sort of character assassination, "Have you no sense of decency, sir? At long last, have you left no sense of decency?"

David

Friday, September 17, 2004

GAME, SET, MATCH!

http://abcnews.go.com/sections/Politics/Vote2004/
staudt_bush_040917-1.html


There it is. Staudt comes out and says:

1. I am the one who put him in the guard. I did it because he was qualified and passed the test. There couldn't have been pressure because I am the one who made the decision.

2. I never had anything to do with the guard matters after I became a civilian.

That is it. It is over.

Documents - FORGERY

Main Elements of story - INCORRECT

So how long do you think it will take CBS to do something. My guess is they won't do anything at all. I will not watch anything with CBS on it until a retraction is aired and their errors and claims are explained.

BOOOIIIING!

USATODAY.com

Fear not, true believers, the bounce is still there. Two recent polls with smaller leads were largely taken over weekends, when Republicans traditionally poll weaker. It looks like this recent Gallup poll, taken during the week when Republicans aren't out mowing the lawn, reflects more of a move to the President.

Keep up the good work, CBS.

RMR

Thursday, September 16, 2004

Springing the "Cover Up Trap"

Why would a CBS producer spend more than 4 years (1999-2004) following rumors about things that happened in 1972? Rumors that, even if true, would hardly make a blip on the political radar? One answer might be that she is trying to uncover some much more nefarious truth buried behind the rumors. A much more believable answer is that she has been trying to spring the "Cover Up Trap".

The "Cover Up Trap" is getting caught covering up or lying about some activity, that in and of itself is relatively innocuous. It is 'obstruction of justice' (a felony) when the underlying crime is a misdemeanor. It is lying to the FBI, even though you didn't do the crime.

Nixon had absolutely nothing to do with the Watergate break in. He didn't even know about it until after it happened. But it brought down his Presidency because he helped his subordinates cover it up.

What CBS has been hoping for all these years is to catch President Bush doing something similar. Here is history as they hoped it was:

  1. Bush got into the TANG in order to avoid Vietnam and was accepted only because his connected family pulled strings.
  2. LT Bush did things while in the TANG that could be embarrassing, such as not attending unit drills and not taking a required physical. (One version of the story is that he didn't take the physical because it would have revealed drug use.)
  3. He was allowed to get away with this dereliction of duty because he came from a prominent family.
  4. Later in life, when he decided to get into politics, his friends and advisors 'sanitized' his TANG records to remove the embarrassing information. (Cover up #1, sometime in the 1990s) He either directed this to happen or at least knows about it and continues to cover it up (Cover up #2, now).

Unfortunately for CBS and their co-conspirators, there is very little evidence that any of this is true.

  1. While it is true that the Bush family was somewhat well connected, they were by no means the first family of Texas in 1972. And while it was hard to get into the National Guard and it was viewed at the time as the most acceptable way to avoid Vietnam, it was much easier to get in if you could qualify for pilot training. Even if strings were pulled, there is every expectation that the younger Bush would not have known. In fact, even the current Ben Barnes version has no direct connection to the President, or even to his family.
  2. It is undoubtedly true that LT Bush's interest in TANG service had diminished by 1972. He was getting to the point in his life where he needed to get on with establishing himself in a career and he had interests that pulled him away from Texas. Like most Guardsmen, he had another life. So he made arrangements with his unit to meet his minimum obligations in a way that was less disruptive to his plans. As part of that, he took a non-flying job (anathema to a real fighter jock). If you are not flying, there is no need to take a flight physical.
  3. It is also undoubtedly true that no one in the TANG cared very much. In 1972 the US military was in the middle of a huge reduction in force. Vietnam was winding down. People were being turned out of the uniformed services in droves. Many combat experienced fighter pilots were leaving active service and wanted slots in Guard and Reserve units. Why would the TANG try very hard to hand on to a young one tour pilot, when pilots with combat experience who would stay in the Guard long term (20+ years) were itching for the spot? There may well have been some mumbling and grumbling in the unit, but nothing official was done because everything was within the letter of the regulations and the guy would be gone in a year anyway. Want to bet there wasn't some grumbling amoung the other swift boat sailors when Kerry came home after only a 4 month tour?
  4. This story is based on the implausible report of a person (about overheard phone conversations and Generals clearing files) who was not in the Air guard, who has had a lot of litigation with the state of Texas over medical benefits he believes himself entitled to, and whose story has been strongly denied by everyone he says was involved. If there was a cover up, it worked. But since there was nothing to cover up except the perfectly normal and natural life of a young one tour pilot, the easier thing to believe is that there was no cover up.

So, since CBS has little or no hope of penetrating the rock solid cover up they believe took place, they are trying to bait the President into saying something provably incorrect while defending himself from their charges. That would spring the "cover up trap". I hope the President and his people are too smart to fall for it.

David

Let Them Eat Cake!

Yahoo! News - Heinz Kerry Visits Hurricane Aid Center

Theresa "Don't Cry For Me Argentina" Ketchup-Kerry exhorts rescue workers at a photo op in the above story to focus on water and electric generators rather than clothes.

"Clothing is wonderful, but let them go naked for a while, at least the kids."

This is one of those moments when the event itself is funny enough.

RMR

Wednesday, September 15, 2004

No Dan - You answer the questions

Why did you use obvious forgeries in an attempt to influence the presidential election?

Was someone associated with the DNC, the Kerry campaign, or any of the Kerry 527 groups the source of these documents?

Did anyone from the DNC, the Kerry campaign, or any of the Kerry 527 groups know about this report before it was aired?

Every moment that goes by without you and CBS answering these questions makes it more and more certain that you were not duped - you were a willing participant in this egregious fraud.


David

Dan's a Done Deal

I have a HUGE problem with CBS and Dan Rather's attitude about this entire "Rathergate" Scandal. They seem to be saying that all of us ignorant plebs should just shut up and let them tell us what to think. Nowhere is this more apparent than in this article in the New York Observer. I have some responses to a few parts of what Mr. Rather said.

"With respect: answer the questions," said Dan Rather, the CBS News anchor. He was asking a direct question to President George W. Bush, his re-election campaign and his political allies in the press and on the Web. "We’ve heard what you have to say about the documents and what you’ve said and what your surrogates have said, but for the moment, answer the questions.

Well, with respect Dan, what surrogates are you referring to? Instapundit? Hugh Hewitt? The Washington Post? USA Today? It's seems to me that none of the President's surrogates have addressed the documents issue until today, unless you count Laura Bush a day or so ago. Today you had some senators and congressmen weighing in, but the driving force behind this story isn't any political campaign, it's the new media and the blogosphere doing your job for you. The burden of prove for thirty year old accusations that are only tangentially related to the campaign lies squarely on your desk, pal. Oh, and by the way, not a single accusation in these is even new or even that damaging. We know he missed the physical and that he didn't fly in Alabama and the campaign explained why months ago.

Mr. Rather asserted that the lack of denial was itself evidence of the essential truth of his findings. The questions raised by his reporting, he said, have remained unanswered by the Bush administration: Did Mr. Bush get preferential treatment for the Texas Air National Guard? Was then-Lieutenant Bush suspended for failing to perform up to Texas and Air Guard standards? Did then-Lieutenant Bush refuse a direct order from his military superior to take a required examination?

"It’s never been fully, completely denied by the Bush-Cheney campaign or even the White House that he was suspended for meeting the standards of the Air Force or that he didn’t show up for a physical," he said. "The longer we go without a denial of such things—this story is true."

Uh, no Dan, until you prove it the story is false. That's why they call the stuff "proof". Have you considered that, having denied these same allegations since he ran for Governor when I was in high school, Bush and his guys see these allegations as already addressed. I know it bugs you, but Bush really doesn't give a rats' hindquarters what you think about him and doesn't have to respond every time you sleaze him.

"If you can’t deny the information, then attack and seek to destroy the credibility of the messenger, the bearer of the information. And in this case, it’s change the subject from the truth of the information to the truth of the documents. "This is your basic fogging machine, which is set up to cloud the issue, to obscure the truth," he said.

Dan, would you have run the story without the documents? (long uncomfortable pause) I didn't think so. Therefore, not so much true, is it?

If Mr. Rather’s defense sounded like a shout of "vast right-wing conspiracy," in this election year it was no longer as crazy as it sounded—particularly during a week when the Republican National Committee had already beat him to the conspiracy-mongering. When the Democratic National Committee launched a TV ad called "Fortunate Son" on Tuesday, Sept. 14, using a clip of Mr. Rather’s 60 Minutes sit-down with the former Lieutenant Governor of Texas, Ben Barnes, a spokesman for the Republican National Committee released a statement saying that "the video the Democrats released today is as creative and accurate as the memos they gave CBS."

Sure, the use of CBS News footage in an ad by the DNC is completely normal! They must have taped it when the show broadcast and then turned around and produced a major campaign video within a few days. This makes me really wish they had a "Sarcasm" font.

Mr. Rather said that it would require an exceptional amount of knowledge to craft a forgery—and not just the typographical kind. "You’d have to have an in-depth knowledge of Air Force manuals from 1971," he said. "You’d have to have Bush’s service record, you’d have to have the Air Force regulations from 1971, you’d have to know nearly all of the people involved directly at that time, including the squadron commander, who was Bush’s immediate superior, and his attitude at the time—you’d have to know all those things and weave all those things in."

Actually, Dan, the reason you were caught being a pathetic shill is that your forgery sucked! So, it's not exactly news to say that pulling off a forgery is hard. We know. You proved it.

"In terms of the experts, you’re going to find an equal number of experts on the authenticity arguments," he said. "I don’t think that’s going to resolve the argument. The core truth of the reporting, I think it’s already clear that it’s true. And I think as time goes along, it will become even more apparent."

Uh, Dan, pretty much ALL the experts say they are fake, including your own. Fake documents don't normally end up being true (that's usually why they have to be faked, you idiot).

…. These are unpleasant truths. But they are truths. There was and is no joy in reporting them. But part of what reporters are supposed to do is ask questions, dig for facts and, when truths are found, share them with the public and, when called upon to do so, speak truth to power. This we did. I think over the long haul, this will be consistent with our history and our traditions and reputation," he said. "We took heat during the McCarthy time, during Vietnam, during civil rights, during Watergate. We haven’t always been right, but our record is damn good."

Unfortunately, the aspect of this that rises to a Watergate level scandal is your duplicity Dan.

Cue the exit music.

RMR

Typewriters and the future

All speculation about what kind of typewriter could have produced such documents as those 'found' by Dan Rather and CBS are moot... The TANG office at Ellington Field had no such machine. Sometime in the 70s they got a (mono-spaced) Selectric, before that they had a manual typewriter - no Executive, no Composer. There can now be no doubt that the documents are fakes - not questionable - fakes.

Now the more difficult part of the process begins. Who tried to perpetrate this fraud on the American people, and why? Why did CBS news base a story on these documents that are so obviously fakes?

But one thing is clear; by participating in this fraud CBS has effectively ended the argument about George W. Bush’s National Guard service. Once fraud is discovered the original question is moot. The only reason to produce fraudulent documents is to prop up an otherwise unsupportable position.

CBS and anyone else involved in this must be held to account. They attempted to influence the Presidential election by fraud – there is nothing more un-American and un-democratic. This is serious, far more serious than the case they were trying to make against the President.


Tuesday, September 14, 2004

Kerry Campaign Rejoices - Senator Polls Higher Than McCarthy, Ties Martha Stewart

DRUDGE REPORT FLASH 2004�

CBS report - In another fantastic development, the Kerry campaign cheered the news that the senator had narrowly edged out Joseph McCarthy in recently published favorability ratings.

"Thirty-six is a good number, and we've nowhere to go but up!" quoted a cheerful Kerry campaign staffer at the DNC. "We've got the koolaid all ready for election night!"

In a related story, Herbert Hoover received a 43 and the hated warmonger John Ashcroft received a 49.

Just kidding. The numbers are all correct however. Kerry only beat Limbaugh by two points.

RMR

For the Record - IBM Executive Proportional Font

Here is some actual text typed on an IBM Executive typewriter on 3/27/1972.


Note the lack of 'pseudo kerning' and the non curved apostophy.


The jpeg is a little fuzzy, but the 600bpi tiff from the scanner is not. I have this original document and several others typed about the same time.

Rathergate and Actual Old Documents Skewer Kerry

It makes me smile that this scandal has earned the name "Rathergate" - it's called Karma, folks. Anyway, Jonah Goldberg has a great piece on NRO today where he talks about how the Rathergate story makes him want to roll around in chocolate it's so good.

His best point:

Well, if you agree with Rather, maybe you should give just a smidgen more slack to George W. Bush about the failure to find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. Bush's sources were more solid by several orders of magnitude than Rather's, and yet it is "obvious" to so many that Bush lied while Rather deserves the benefit of the doubt. George W. Bush had the head of the CIA, the intelligence agencies of all our allies, the Clinton administration, the United Nations, and most of the establishment media generally backing his understanding of the threat from Iraq. Dan Rather had a couple shoddy Xeroxes — not all of which were examined thoroughly or at all. He interviewed a partisan — Ben Barnes — a huge backer of Kerry whose story has changed several times. But because many who hate Bush believe he lied, they are willing to believe any lies that confirm what they already know to be true.

Absolutely! If Bush didn't dig deep enough when the French, Israeli, British, Russian, etc. intelligence folks were telling him what our own "Alphabet Soup" was telling him, how could this steaming pile from CBS possibly pass muster on its face? Goldberg goes right to the heart of Rather's bias. Cue the exit music.

Also, Mr. Kerry's story from Vietnam (I can't believe we are still talking about this) continues to unravel - the folks at It'z News To Me have reported that news agencies have obtained Kerry's Silver Star After Action Report. Guess who it supports? Of course, the Swifties.

I can hear the orchestra swelling as we speak.

RMR


Monday, September 13, 2004

The begining of the end

Now that the Washington Post (not Times) has published this the wheels should come off this little wagon very quickly. They qoute Newcomer.

David

National Review Weighs In On CBS Duplicity

In this great article, Jim Geraghty gives a great refutation of Dan "We'd Rather Have Kerry" and his political spin response of CBS criticism on Friday. Geraghty goes phrase by phrase and answers all the spin points.

Another great comment on Fox News Sunday by Bill Kristol - "The Swift Boat Vets have been more straightforward than CBS News has been in this matter." What a comment on CBS that he's not putting the Swift Boat Vets up as a negative example!

Game over Dan. We'll see you on a few occasional "Dan Rather Reporting" Specials or some such, but no one will ever trust you again. It's just a matter of time before CBS has a new anchor (or no news division).

Also, the American Spectator is all over this story. Check this article out over at their site.

RMR

Sunday, September 12, 2004

The Real Deal

Just forget what I said about 'kerning' and such see this definitive work by a REAL expert.

More on CBS's shameless partisan display last week.

NewsMax.com: Inside Cover Story

More on CBS being a bunch of big fat liars. Beyond David's insider analysis, the news media has also begun to unravel Dan and company's chicanery. The entire story from the above link is copied below. Dan should stick to clinging to telephone poles during hurricanes and leave the facts to the professionals.

RMR

Saturday, Sept. 11, 2004 10:04 a.m. EDT
'60 Minutes': Witness Who Contradicted Forged Docs Was Too 'Pro-Bush'

In its controversial report on President Bush's National Guard record, CBS "60 Minutes" anchorman Dan Rather failed to include accounts from witnesses who challenged the content of memos now believed to have been forged because they were deemed too "pro-Bush."

Gary Killian - son of the late Jerry Killian, who commanded Bush in the Guard and who CBS claims had authored the suspicious documents - said Friday that he was interviewed two weeks ago by "60 Minutes" producer Mary Mapes.

In addition to challenging the central premise of the CBS report - that his father felt pressured to cover up Bush's allegedly subpar Guard performance - Gary Killian urged Mapes to interview Dean Roome, who roomed with Bush during his time in the Guard.
Ms. Mapes explained that "60 Minutes" had already conducted the interview but was unlikely to include Roome's account in its report, telling Killian Jr.: "We think he is pretty pro-Bush."

Killian detailed his interview with Mapes to ABC radio host Sean Hannity on Friday, explaining that both he and his stepmother had been contacted by "60 Minutes."

But like Roome, their comments wound up on the cutting room floor.

"She wanted to interview me about my dad and how he felt about George Bush," he told Hannity. "Then she proceeded to ask me about documents."

Killian quoted the "60 Minutes" producer as saying, "We're trying to get our hands on some documents that your dad supposedly wrote that were not very flattering towards then-Lieutenant Bush."

Killian recalled that he immediately questioned whether his father would have written the critical comments, telling Hannity that he knew his father actually admired Bush because "we talked about it."

Killian Jr. even warned "60 Minutes" that any documents purporting otherwise were likely to be of questionable origin.

"I don't know of any such documents. Dad didn't keep any home office or anything like that. ... There were no secret files, there were no off-campus files. Any files that my father would have kept would have been in his office."

"60 Minutes" also contacted his stepmother, Killian said, who told Rather's crew that her late husband had great admiration for Bush.

Mrs. Killian has since challenged the authenticity of the CBS documents, saying her husband didn't even know how to type.

An astonished Hannity asked, "You said this to '60 Minutes' and they didn't include any of this in their report?"

"That's correct," Killian responded.

Ironically, while Gary Killian was on the air with Hannity, CBS issued a statement that claimed interviews conducted by Rather's team "with former Texas National Guard officials and individuals who worked closely back in the early 1970s with Colonel Jerry Killian and were well acquainted with his procedures, his character and his thinking" corroborated their questionable documents.

Saturday, September 11, 2004

To Kern or not to Kern - Word ALWAYS does with some letter pairs.

See this image. If the CBS 'memo' has overlapped letters like the 'f' and 'r' in this image, no typewriter without memory ever made could have produced it, because the typewriter would have to 'remember' the 'f' and know to print the next letter 'r' partially within the same letter space. Game over. Note that this is MS word with Kerning OFF, which I believe it is in the CBS document. Again - that is the default in word.

Unfortunately, the pdf file from CBS is too blured to tell for sure. It may well be that the actual document is too blured for this silver bullet.

A few details to consider....

Since I've been invited to join the discussion here, I thought I would contribute a few observations. For context, I live and work in the area around Ellington AFB in Houston, and have since the late 60’s (except for 3.5 years in the army).

About the documents:

  • The PO Box number 34567, although it looks odd at first, is consistent with the numbers for that zip code (77034) - last two digits of the zip (34), plus a 3 digit box number (567). A cool number to be sure, but given the population of that area in the late 60's (mostly cows outside the base fence), probably not too hard to get if you are the Texas Air National Guard. I had a PO Box at a neighboring zip code at that time and it was numbered that way.
  • The documents I mentioned in my comment yesterday were routine correspondence typed by a secretary (remember them?). Only secretaries had typewriters where I worked (a large programming shop working on the space program).
  • I later owned an Executive typewriter. It was possible to center text with the machine. When you wanted to center something, you pushed a lever and a soft rubber bar would move in place between the type bars and the ribbon. Then you centered the carriage and typed the text to be centered. The type bars would hit the rubber so no impression was made, but the carriage would move. Then you looked at a scale on the machine which told you where to the left of the center point to set the carriage. Then you placed the carriage there and typed the text again. The result was perfectly centered proportional text.-
  • I’ve been going over my memories of my Army years and I can’t imagine an officer having a typewriter. I was an enlisted man – we typed, officers didn’t. I also know for sure that I never used an electric typewriter while in the service. There were no electric machines in any of the units I was in. Maybe the Air Force was different, but I doubt it.

But, even if the documents are genuine, what do they actually say?

  • That Bush talked to his commander about finding a way not to have to attend training at Ellington the last part of 1972 while he was in Alabama. If he wanted to go to Alabama, that’s exactly what he should have done, ask his CO. (Looks like they found a way – a transfer to the Alabama National Guard.)
  • That Bush didn’t take a flight physical he was scheduled and ordered to take. (I guess they worked that one out too, since Bush didn’t end up in Leavenworth, as he would have if he had persisted in not doing as he was told.) We already knew Bush didn’t take the physical, and as a result lost flight status. We also know there was a glut of pilots returning from Vietnam, who wanted to stay in the reserves and flay, and that Bush was near the end of his term and had no desire to stay in the reserves. So what.
  • That Bush didn’t meet TANG ‘standards’. (Probably refers to the missing physical, and possibly taking a non-flying job in order to move to Alabama.)
The claim that Bush didn’t complete his tour is ludicrous – He did. He has a discharge to prove it. In August 1968, I enlisted in the army for 4 years. I only served 3 years and 6 months. In early 1972 Vietnam was winding down and the military was down sizing. I was reassigned to the reserves for 2 years 6 months to make my total ‘commitment’ of 6 years. I never did one minute of reserve duty. I later years I sometime had dreams about the Army coming after me for that last six months, but they were just dreams – I have an Honorable Discharge, dated six years from the day I enlisted, hanging on my wall.

Friday, September 10, 2004

Uh Oh...here come the dominoes!!!

This is from The Spectator today (site is down...thanks Drudge)

Anatomy of a Forgery By The ProwlerPublished 9/10/2004 12:09:06 AM
More than six weeks ago, an opposition research staffer for the Democratic National Committee received documents purportedly written by President George W. Bush's Texas Air National Guard squadron commander, the late Col. Jerry Killian. The oppo researcher claimed the source was "a retired military officer." According to a DNC staffer, the documents were seen by both senior staff members at the DNC, as well as the Kerry campaign."More
than a couple people heard about the papers," says the DNC staffer. "I've heard that they ended up with the Kerry campaign, for them to decide to how to proceed, and presumably they were handed over to 60 Minutes, which used them the other night. But I know this much. When there was discussion here, there were doubts raised about their authenticity." The concerns arose from the sourcing. "It wasn't clear that our source for the documents would have had access to them. Our person couldn't confirm from what file, from what original source they came from."The documents that CBS News used were not documents from any of Bush's personnel files from his time in the National Guard. Rather, CBS News stated that they were documents uncovered in the personnel files of Killian. That would explain why the White House or the Pentagon had never before released or even seen them. According to a Kerry campaign source, there was little gossip about the supposedly hot documents inside the office of the campaign on McPherson Square. "Those documents were not something anyone was talking about or trying to generate buzz on," says the staffer. "It wasn't like there were small groups of people talking about this as a bombshell. I think people here weren't sure what to make of it, because provenance of these documents was uncertain." A CBS producer, who initially tipped off The Prowler about the 60 Minutes story, says that despite seeking professional assurances that the documents were legitimate, there was uncertainty even among the group of producers and researchers working on the story. "The problem was we had one set of documents from Bush's file that had Killian calling Bush 'an exceptionally fine young officer and pilot.' And someone who Killian said 'performed in an outstanding manner.' Then you have these new documents and the tone and content are so different."The CBS producer said that some alarms bells went off last week when the signatures and initials of Killian on the documents in hand did not match up with other documents available on the public record, but producers chose to move ahead with the story. "This was too hot not to push. If there were doubts, those people didn't show it," says the
producer, who works on a rival CBS News program. Now, the producer says, there is growing concern inside the building on 57th Street that they may have been suckered by the Kerry campaign. "There is a school of thought here that the Kerry people dumped this in our laps, figuring we'd do the heavy lifting on the story. That maybe they had doubts about these documents but hoped we'd get more information," says the
producer. "If that's the case, then we're bigger fools than we already appear to be judging by all the chatter about how these documents could be forgeries." ABC News' political unit held a conference call at 7:00 p.m. Thursday evening to discuss the memo and its potential ramifications should the documents turn out to be a forgery. That meeting took place around the time that the deceased Killian's son made public statements questioning the documents' authenticity. According to one ABC News employee, some reporters believe that the Kerry campaign as well as the DNC were parties in duping CBS, but a smaller segment believe that both the DNC and the Kerry campaign were duped by Karl Rove, who would have engineered the flap to embarrass the opposition.

Apparently this could get REAL BAD for the Kerry campaign! If this came from them and it turns out fake then they are in trouble. People will get fired. Watch for at least one Kerry staffer to get thrown to the wolves as the sacrificial lamb over this.

You Have to Actually Be Clever to Cheat

Yahoo! News - Bush Piloted Guard Trainers Before He Quit

Please read the link above to find out how low the Dem's will sink. Also check out a full New York Post expose here.

I've recently read Hugh Hewitt's great book "If It Isn't Close They Can't Cheat" (or something like that anyway) and this story just proves it. Here's exhibit A from the story above:

Meanwhile, questions were raised Thursday about the authenticity of newly unearthed memos purporting to have been written by one of Bush's commanders in 1972 and 1973. The memos, which were publicized by CBS News on its "60 Minutes" program, say Bush ignored a direct order from a superior officer and lost his status as a Guard pilot because he failed to meet military performance standards and undergo a required physical exam.

The network defended the memos, saying its experts who examined the memos concluded they were authentic documents produced by Lt. Col. Jerry Killian.

But Killian's son, one of Killian's fellow officers and an independent document examiner questioned the memos Gary Killian, who served in the Guard with his father and retired as a captain in 1991, said he doubted his father would have written an unsigned memo which said there was pressure to "sugar coat" Bush's performance review.

"It just wouldn't happen," he said. "No officer in his right mind would write a memo like that."

The personnel chief in Killian's unit at the time also said he believes the documents are fake.

"They looked to me like forgeries," said Rufus Martin. "I don't think Killian would do that, and I knew him for 17 years." Killian died in 1984.

Independent document examiner Sandra Ramsey Lines said the memos looked like they had been produced on a computer using Microsoft Word software. Lines, a document expert and fellow of the American Academy of Forensic Sciences, pointed to a superscript — a smaller, raised "th" in "111th Fighter Interceptor Squadron" — as evidence indicating forgery.

Microsoft Word automatically inserts superscripts in the same style as the two on the memos obtained by CBS, she said.

"I'm virtually certain these were computer generated," Lines said after reviewing copies of the documents at her office in Paradise Valley, Ariz. She produced a nearly identical document using her computer's Microsoft Word software.


Beyond the amusing fact that the headline to this story isn't "Dems proven to be big fat LIARS" is the amusing fact that the above paragraphs weren't the first information revealed. The "heroic" writers at the AP decided to go with the fact that (gasp!) the President took two passes to land an aircraft. Give me a break.

The superscripted "th" is my favorite part of this story. A word processor that would even do that in the early seventies probably cost several thousand dollars, and the effort required to make that happen on a simple memo would have taken a really retentive SOB to want to even bother. Trust me, a military man would have just written a full size "th". Remember boys and girls, the IBM PC didn't come out until 1981, and the superscript thing was possible then, but still wasn't just a click of the mouse like now. They didn't even have mice!

DUHHHH! This are the same people who think John Kerry would be the perfect war-time president. This kind of cheating is why we can't beat these guys by a little this time. We have to really crush them like bugs or they'll try stuff like this to steal the election. You know, like they tried to do last time, when Bush won. That's right, he won - got more electoral college votes, became president fair and square. Does that still bug you so much you'll resort to these tactics, Dems?

RMR

Thursday, September 09, 2004

A Brit that Gets It (Mostly)

I came across a truly inspired political analogy in the London Daily Telegraph today:

The truth is that Kerry has had a disastrous month, fumbling his message on Iraq and failing to refute a brutal but utterly predictable assault on his character. If, as seems likely right now, Mr Kerry loses in November, he has only himself to blame.
Watching Mr Kerry try to take on Mr Bush brings to mind a classic moment in that cult film of the 1980s, Raiders of the Lost Ark. Harrison Ford as Indiana Jones is trapped in a back-alley in an Egyptian souk.
A crowd closes in as a giant Arab steps forward wielding a scimitar. Snick-snack it goes through the air, faster and faster. The audience tenses. Indie shudders.
Then he draws a pistol from his belt and shoots the Arab in the forehead. Game over. The crowd drifts away.
Such is America's polarisation that the crowd enveloping the two presidential candidates is not yet drifting away. But, notwithstanding his own twists over Iraq, Mr Bush plays a convincing straight shooter. His pistol is already drawn and all the while Mr Kerry seems happier whirling a scimitar than reaching for a gun.


The Brit then goes on to exactly agree with your humble correspondant's assessment of Mr. Kerry's Big Error - not talking about anything but Vietnam at his convention. His point is brilliant and will be seen in full force at the debates - Kerry will be all rhetoric and show, followed by Bush pulling out his rhetorical pistol, shooting him in the metaphorical head, and then going back to killing terrorists.

An interesting insight into the British character is the writer's shock that Americans actually like the President. We have to remember that Brits get CNN and major US outlets only and probably not Fox or any of our "alternative" (but increasingly influential) media. For example, they only hear about stuff like the Swifties when it cracks the wall at CNN, not when it is breaking news. They also don't get major media reports through the lens of conservative talk or the straight stuff from Fox. This would go a long way to explaining the European antipathy to Bush and to Americans - they only see the liberal opinion of America, not America itself.

Something to think about when Mr. Kerry talks about alienating our allies. Maybe it's really left wing media bias that's more to blame than anyone.

RMR


Apparent Media Use of Mind-Altering Drugs

Two items in the news over the last couple of days have reduced me to actual belly laughter at their sheer ridiculousness.

The first was this article from the Boston Globe, which tells Kerry to "get tough" and addresses five obstacles that the Kerry campaign has to face. The by far most amazingly delusional is this one:

Hostile Media. The press (with some heroic exceptions) continues to cut Bush and the right-wing smears a lot more slack than they cut Kerry. There is no offsetting left-wing Fox.

ARE YOU KIDDING ME?! Is this bizarro world? Oh, wait. That's right, the media is made up of mostly Republicans and conservatives, all hoping for the shot to work at Fox and take it easy on the Administration (hint: it's more like 80% liberal). If this year has been a year of the press, with a few (chuckle) heroic exceptions, taking it easy on Bush, I'd hate to see it go hard on him. And, by the way, the New York Times, the Washington Post, the LA Times, all the major networks, CNN, and MSNBC are the offsetting liberal version of Fox, you idiot.

The other real it-would-be-funny-if-it-wasn't-so-pathetic example is this from a Reuter's story about the "Texans for Truth" that have magically started to attack Bush's guard record:

The new ad by Texans for Truth, a Texas-based grass-roots group, asks if Bush was "AWOL in Alabama." Former Lt. Col. Bob Mintz says he never saw Bush there. "I can say for sure that I was there and I never saw George Bush," Mintz told reporters in a conference call.

The most amusing portion, of course, is calling the TFT a noble "grass-roots" group when it is a front for MOVEON.ORG, you know, that multi-million dollar smear campaign run by Democratic insiders and funded by wierd billionaires. This is also a way to slyly attack the Swifties as being not grass-roots, when they are by definition grass-roots, having organized themselves and sought funding without party help or supervision. This group is such a blatant campaign ploy that even the increasingly left leaning Reuters wire should have at least asked the question.

And the most important and often missed point in this story: Kerry built his entire convention and campaign around his four month's and three bandaids in Vietnam and Bush's guard service is just something he did in his twenties and has never been claimed to be more than that. This makes the Kerry story relevant and Bush's guard service political water-carrying by the press. Also, Bush's guard service is a thoroughly vetted issue, and the Kerry stuff is a developing story.

Despite the Globe's whining about Fox, aren't you glad we get at least one outlet that doesn't just quote Kerry talking points?

RMR




Wednesday, September 08, 2004

...and that starts with "T" and that rhymes with "P" and that stands for pool!

"W Stands For Wrong"

That is the new slogan of the sKerry campaign! Who knew the big campaign shake-up involved hiring Prof. Harold Hill. What a bold move. They do need to work on their grasp of the spoken language though.

Memo to sKerry campaign: It's all in the alliteration
W can stand for a lot of things:
It can stand for "dumb"
It can stand for "dirt"
It can stand for "dog"
It can stand for "dolphin"
It can stand for "delirious"
It can stand for "duty"
It can stand for "donut"
It can even stand for "dippity-doo" or "dookie"
...but it can't stand for "wRong"

The idiocy of this campaign just amazes me. How do you mess up a campaign slogan! Well in the interest of balance I have come up with a few slogans for there team using their unique way with words.

John Edwards "J Is For Jalapeno"
Theresa Heinz-Kerry "T Is For Therapy"
Bill Clinton "C Is For Chili-Cheese Dog"
Paul Begala "P Is For Psychosis"
-if the sKerry folks want to call me I will let them use these slogans for a slight fee.


Monday, September 06, 2004

Kerry Comes Out On Iraq...AGAIN...yawn!

Yahoo! News - Kerry Slams 'Wrong War in the Wrong Place'

In a shocking development, Kerry came out fighting again today and bravely took yet another position on the war in Iraq. What is that, 100? 200? All his campaign is doing is reinforcing Kerry's negatives - a majority of voters already think he says what he thinks people want to hear and not what he really believes. Even if you hate Bush, you know where he stands - AND PEOPLE KNOW IT.

Bush had a great response today that made the radio sound bites:

""After voting for the war, but against funding it, after saying he would have voted for the war even knowing everything we know today, my opponent woke up this morning with new campaign advisers and yet another new position," Bush told Missouri voters.

"suddenly he's against it again," Bush said. "No matter how many times Senator Kerry changes his mind, it was right for America and it's right for America now that Saddam Hussein is no longer in power."

OUCH! Can you see these two guys in a debate? Kerry will do his "nuance" thing and Bush will give direct honest answers. You think he destroyed Gore in 2000, trust me, there will be blood on the floor when Dubya gets done with this thin-skinned wherever-the-wind-blows liberal whiner.

To quote Mr. Kerry (until he changes his mind): BRING IT ON!

RMR

Sunday, September 05, 2004

Right actually proves to make right.

The New York Times > Washington > Campaign 2004 > Democratic Strategies: Democrats Urge Kerry to Turn Up Intensity of Campaign

In the interest of patting himself on the back, your humble correspondent would like to reprint the first post on this site. The article above has established that right does, in fact, make right.

The Big Campaign Error of 2004

The opening statement of this right swerving blog will deal with what I call "The Big Campaign Error of 2004". What is it? Running the Democratic Convention like you are 15 points ahead instead of tied.

What were they thinking?

The answer is actually not that complex. After all, when everyone you knows hates Bush, hates the war in Iraq, and thinks tax cuts are "code words" for racial discrimination, it's easy to assume that the rest of America thinks so, too. This monocular world view led the Kerry campaign to come up with the Big Idea of their convention: Just Don't Screw Up and Say "Strong" alot. The theory was, "everybody already wants to dump Bush, we just have to not scare them off."

The entire convention was infomercial fluff with no real big ideas, no bold plans, no over-arching policy themes. Important issues to Americans from guns to gays, abortion to education, taxes to health care were either not discussed at all (gays and abortion) or talked of in the broadest possible terms (everything else).

The result? The first convention since 1950 that did not provide their candidate with a poll bounce of any kind. You have to argue to persuade. You have to stand for something to convince. Saying "strong" three hundred times and showing thirty-five year old Vietnam footage doesn't show that you can be Commander in Chief. Vision does. Policy does.

The Big Error was underestimating Americans. They can handle it if you actually treat them like adults and make your argument. Why should partial birth abortion be legal? Why is the death penalty wrong? Why do we need universal health care? Why do w